Consumer Discretionary
10 names scored on v5.0 · vintage 2026-08-15 · data as of 2026-10-04.
Cohort
10 tickers
Consumer Discretionary: 4 Universe + 6 Watchlist, 2026-08-15 vintage (6-of-8 OR trailing run ≥4; watchlist one vintage short)
Scoring
v5.0
v4.0 absolute bands, unchanged, plus the §5.1 CV compounder-waiver. Scores are independent of cohort size.
Top Quality
0
none. Tier cuts 78 / 64 / 48.
Gated
3 of 10
CV>1.00 unless waived · sign change ≥1 · >300% ≥2 · TTM/Peak<85 — waiver lifts SGI
| # | Ticker | Final | Tier | EPS, 8 quarters | CV | Gap % | Slope | Persistence | Latest | Basis | Gate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RL | 67.9 | Strong | 0.36 | 0.8 | 4.98 | XXX.XX.X · U | Q1 FY27 | Adj · SHIPMENT-TIMING | — | |
| 2 | TPR | 67.7 | Strong | 0.52 | 9.7 | 4.49 | XXXXXXX. · U | Q4 FY26 | Adj · M&A | — | |
| 3 | BOOT | 60.8 | Moderate | 0.45 | -2.2 | 5.90 | X.XXXX.. · W | Q1 FY27 | GAAP · GAAP-ONLY | — | |
| 4 | ORLY | 59.8 | Moderate | 0.52 | 3.4 | 2.39 | XXXXX... · W | Q2 FY26 | GAAP · GAAP-ONLY, SPLIT-ADJ | — | |
| 5 | TJX | 56.2 | Moderate | 0.61 | 3.8 | 2.07 | XXXXXX.. · U | Q2 FY27 | Adj · 53-WEEK-FY24 | — | |
| 6 | SGI | 39.1 | Weak | 1.36 | 8.0 | -1.12 | .XXXXX.. · W | Q2 FY26 | Adj | CV waived | |
| 7 | GTX | 38.2 | Weak | 0.97 | -11.8 | 7.18 | ..X.XXXX · U | Q2 FY26 | GAAP · GAAP-ONLY | — | |
| 8 | H | 33.7 | Flagged | 10.06 | 1.5 | 6.38 | .....XXX · W | Q2 FY26 | Adj | — | |
| 9 | RUSHA | 32.8 | Flagged | 1.30 | 0.4 | -1.32 | XX...XXX · W | Q2 FY26 | GAAP · SPLIT-ADJ-PENDING, GAAP-ONLY | — | |
| 10 | PATK | 27.8 | Flagged | 13.17 | 0.0 | 2.48 | XX.XXX.. · W | Q2 FY26 | Adj · CYCLE, SPLIT-ADJ | — |
EPS is adjusted diluted EPS from the company's release, GAAP where it publishes no adjusted figure. The sparkline runs oldest to newest. Persistence is the All Stars vintage pattern over eight quarters (U universe, W watchlist). Tier cuts 78 / 64 / 48; a gated name is capped at 50.
Observations
- The roster is every Consumer Discretionary name the universe rule admits. 4 qualify outright and 6 are on the watchlist, one vintage short. 3 names are new to the cohort: SGI, H, RUSHA. 3 roster name(s) could not be scored and are listed in the forensic table: ALSN, LAUR, RUSHB.
- Scores are on a new scale. The previous file scored on cohort-relative percentiles; v5.0 uses fixed absolute bands, so the two are not comparable name by name. Rank correlation on the 7 carried names is +0.559.
- The §5.1 waiver lifts 1 name(s): SGI. Each has CV above 1.00 from a seasonal or single-outlier quarter, but a TTM path that rises in all four steps, fits a line at R² ≥ 0.95 and stays within 0.15 dispersion.
- 1 names were rolled forward a quarter. TJX 43.6 → 56.2.
- 4 name(s) are scored on GAAP EPS because the company publishes no adjusted figure: BOOT, ORLY, GTX, RUSHA. A one-time charge stays in a GAAP series and can only make it look less consistent, never more — so a high score on a GAAP-ONLY name was earned on the harder basis, and a low one is a prompt to check the window for a one-time item.
- Every new figure is tied to two company documents. A rolled quarter must sit beside the stored prior-year comparator in its release; each quarter of an added name must reappear as the year-ago (or prior-quarter) figure in a later release.